OBSERVATION-BASED PROBABILISTIC INDICATOR OF RESERVOIR STORAGE IN THE JUCAR SYSTEM TAKING INTO ACCOUNT TAILORED TO CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENTS
Description
The probabilities of having insufficient water resources in the system are derived from observations and climate projections for the Jucar system. The probability of experiencing low water storage in the system strongly depends on climate conditions and may well increase in future climate settings.
(Potential) Categories of users
Water authorities, water resource managers, local authorities
(Potential) applications to decision making in the water sector:
Analysis of scenarios with a particularly high probability of water shortage
Links to relevant webpages
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Added value of this modelling approach/model/results
Indication and warning of unsustainable scenarios where the risk of drought is increasingly high
What decision can be improved with this modelling approach:
Measures for adaptation to drought