ACCLIMATE - MAPPING IMPACTS OF REMOTE CLIMATE EXTREMES ON FOOD AND MANUFACTURING CHAINS

Description

In a highly globalised economy, regional and sectoral shocks and disruptions (including climate-related shocks) can have pronounced impacts on remote regions and sectors. An extensive analysis of consumption and trade networks has been made for a large collection of crops that are vital for food production. For each of these crops, a climate risk profile was produced by linking their trade and production chains with climate features. Global trade model Acclimate mapped the world web of trade and manufacturing processes and analysed it for impacts of flood-related shocks. The mapping uses a discretization into regions and sectors and is assumed to cover a majority of the total worldwide economic production.

(Potential) Categories of users

Food producers, retail companies

(Potential) applications to decision making in the water sector:

Informed decisions related to potential economic impacts of extreme events and disruptions in the water sector

Links to relevant webpages

The Acclimate model +

References/links to relevant IMPREX publications:

Otto C, Willner SN, Wenz L, Frieler K, Levermann A. (2017). Modelling loss-propagation in the global supply network: The dynamic agent-based model acclimate. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 83, 232–269. +

Contact

Katja Frieler

Added value of this modelling approach/model/results

A comprehensive assessment of the current and potential future vulnerability of food supply chains

What decision can be improved with this modelling approach:

Formulation of coping strategies to reduce the climate-related risks for supply chains.